The United Nations has warned that global food prices could rise further.
As extreme weather, geopolitical tensions and climate-related disruptions put increasing pressure on agricultural production and supply chains.
The UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) said its Food Price Index averaged 131.1 points in July 2026, up 1% from a year earlier. The increase came even as some harvest conditions improved, with millions of people continuing to face hunger and food insecurity.
The FAO said recurring heatwaves, the impact of El Niño on crops and growing geopolitical uncertainty were contributing to price pressures. Conflicts have also disrupted energy markets and global supply chains, raising the cost of food production and transportation.
CEREAL AND WHEAT PRICES CLIMB
The FAO reported increases in the prices of cereals, sugar and vegetable oils in July, while meat and dairy prices declined.
The cereal price index rose 3.4% from June, reversing the declines seen during 2025. Wheat prices increased 5.8%, driven partly by disruptions to Black Sea exports linked to the Russia-Ukraine war and extreme heat affecting crop yields.
Vegetable oil prices also reached their highest level since 2022, with the FAO pointing to stronger demand from Indonesia’s biodiesel industry and higher crude oil prices.
FOOD INSECURITY REMAINS A MAJOR CONCERN
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Despite progress in reducing hunger in countries such as Malawi, nearly 1.9 million people there remain in crisis-level acute food insecurity, classified as Phase 3 under the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) system.
Experts have warned that food prices could face further pressure from inflation, weak production of staple crops and the potential effects of El Niño during the 2026-27 rainy season.
Countries including Afghanistan, Djibouti and Honduras are already grappling with severe food insecurity. Armed conflicts, climate change and economic pressures remain among the major factors driving the crisis.
CLIMATE RISKS ADD TO FOOD PRESSURES
The UN has repeatedly warned that climate change is making food systems more vulnerable. Extreme heat, droughts and unpredictable weather can damage crops, reduce yields and disrupt supply chains.
The organisation has also raised concerns about the declining health of the world’s oceans, warning that damage to marine ecosystems could threaten biodiversity, food production and human well-being.
At the same time, the rapid expansion of artificial intelligence is creating new environmental challenges. AI data centres require large amounts of electricity and water, potentially intensifying resource pressures in already vulnerable regions.
UN member states have reaffirmed their commitments to tackling climate change, while international efforts to hold those responsible for environmental damage accountable are also increasing.
A recent multinational law-enforcement operation in South America resulted in hundreds of arrests and the seizure of assets linked to alleged illegal mining and livestock activities in the Amazon, highlighting the growing international focus on environmental crimes.
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