Sharp Decline Likely in Indian Student Numbers Amid Deepening US Visa Crisis: Report

Massive Drop in Indian Students Headed to US Amid Visa Delays, Rejections.

Indian students’ plans to study in the United States are facing a major roadblock this year, with education consultants reporting a 70–80% drop in outbound traffic due to an escalating visa crisis. The delay in releasing interview slots, rising rejection rates, and mounting uncertainty are prompting many students to withdraw applications and consider alternative destinations like Germany and other European nations.

“In previous years, most students would’ve completed their visa process by now. This year, many are still stuck refreshing the portal daily, hoping a slot opens,” said Sanjeev Rai of Hyderabad Overseas Consultant.

Though US officials promised phased slot releases, consultants say students are either unable to book appointments or left hanging after bookings without confirmations. “Some slots appear open but don’t confirm. It’s like they’re stress-testing the system without informing applicants,” said Ankit Jain of Window Overseas Education Consultancy.

As frustration grows, some students are abandoning their US plans altogether. “It felt like a dead end,” said a 23-year-old engineering aspirant who is now eyeing Germany for his master’s degree. “I couldn’t afford to wait and risk losing a whole year.”

Consultants say panic is widespread. “There’s nearly an 80% drop in applicants this year. We’re getting nonstop calls from students and parents,” said Arvind Manduva of I20 Fever.

Students who managed early appointments are also facing higher visa rejection rates than usual. “Many who met all criteria are being denied under Section 214(b),” Jain added, referring to the clause used when applicants fail to prove strong ties to India. “Even students with spotless social media and documentation are being turned away.”

Ravi Lothumalla of US Admission, a consultancy based in Texas, said the stricter enforcement of vetting policies isn’t new but is being implemented more rigorously now.

In response to the mounting concerns, the US Consulate General in Hyderabad said visa slots have resumed and advised students to monitor official channels. “We are working to fully vet applicants to ensure they intend to engage in activities consistent with the visa type. Applicants should apply early and prepare for additional processing time,” a spokesperson said.

Last year, India surpassed China by sending over 3.3 lakh students to the US. But that momentum now appears to be stalling. According to Ministry of External Affairs data, over 11.6 lakh Indian students were studying abroad as of January 1, 2024 — with Europe emerging as an increasingly attractive option.