India’s Women’s T20 World Cup semi-final hopes will be decided on the final day of Group A, with Harmanpreet Kaur’s side taking on unbeaten Australia at Lord’s on Sunday, June 28.
Despite winning three of their four group-stage matches, India are not guaranteed a place in the last four. Their fate is closely tied to the outcome of the day’s other Group A fixture, where South Africa face Bangladesh.
Australia have virtually sealed qualification after winning all four of their matches and topping the group with a superior net run rate of +4.724. India sit second with six points and a healthy net run rate of +2.268, while South Africa remain firmly in contention after their 88-run victory over the Netherlands lifted them to six points as well.
Bangladesh are still mathematically alive but need both a win and a significant swing in net run rate to stand any realistic chance of progressing. Pakistan and the Netherlands have already been eliminated.
Remaining Group A fixtures
Pakistan vs Netherlands — Bristol (June 27)
South Africa vs Bangladesh — Lord’s (June 28)
India vs Australia — Lord’s (June 28)
The Pakistan-Netherlands match has no bearing on the race for the semi-finals.
- How India can qualify
- If India beat Australia
A win takes India to eight points and guarantees a semi-final berth.
If South Africa also defeat Bangladesh, all three teams—Australia, India and South Africa—will finish on eight points. Australia are almost certain to top the group because of their vastly superior net run rate, while India and South Africa will battle for the second qualification spot on net run rate if required.
If Bangladesh upset South Africa, India will qualify alongside Australia.
- If India lose to Australia
- A defeat leaves India on six points.
If South Africa lose to Bangladesh, India and South Africa will finish level on six points, with the second semi-final spot decided by net run rate.
If South Africa beat Bangladesh, the Proteas will advance to eight points and qualify alongside Australia, eliminating India.
If India vs Australia is washed out
A no result would move India to seven points.
If Bangladesh beat South Africa, India will qualify for the semi-finals with seven points, while South Africa remain on six.
If South Africa defeat Bangladesh, both India and South Africa will finish on seven points, with qualification decided by net run rate.
If South Africa vs Bangladesh is also abandoned, South Africa will move to seven points and the second semi-final spot will again be determined by net run rate.
India remain in a strong position heading into the final round, but anything other than a win over Australia could leave their World Cup hopes dependent on Bangladesh doing them a favour—or on a superior net run rate.
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